The Egyptian Coup?

Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman delivered the following statement Feb. 11: “In the name of God the merciful, the compassionate, citizens, during these very difficult circumstances Egypt is going through, President Hosni Mubarak has decided to step down from the office of president of the republic and has charged the high council of the armed forces to administer the affairs of the country. May God help everybody.”

Suleiman’s statement is the clearest indication thus far that the military has carried out a coup led by Defense Minister Field Marshal Mohammed Hussein Tantawi. It is not clear whether Suleiman will remain as the civilian head of the army-led government. Egypt is returning to the 1952 model of ruling the state via a council of army officers. The question now is to what extent the military elite will share power with its civilian counterparts.

At a certain point, the opposition’s euphoria will subside and demands for elections will be voiced. The United States, while supportive of the military containing the unrest, also has a strategic need to see Egypt move toward a more pluralistic system.

Whether the military stays true to its commitment to hold elections on schedule in September remains to be seen. If elections are held, however, the military must have a political vehicle in place to counter opposition forces, particularly the Muslim Brotherhood. The fate of the ruling National Democratic Party (NDP) thus lies in question. Without the NDP, the regime will have effectively collapsed and the military could run into greater difficulty in running the country. While the military council will be serving as the provisional government, it will likely want to retain as much of the ruling NDP as possible and incorporate elements of the opposition to manage the transition. Sustaining its hold over power while crafting a democratic government will be the biggest challenge for the military as it tries to avoid regime change while also dealing with a potential constitutional crisis.

republished with permission of STRATFOR
I think all things considered that covers what I thought may happen. Clearly the military has stepped up for Egypt and for itself. As the “revolution” continues to roll out it has to be noted that all the top contenders from the military are of no different flavor as Hosni.
One thing is for sure. Continued strife on the streets is assured as whatever Egypt is to be will require travel on a very bumpy road.
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21 Comments

  1. bvilleyellowdog says:

    STRATFOR
    Crap in crap out.

  2. Alfie says:

    You’ll note the “?” mark in the post title
    You recognize that the military is actually in charge at least until September,right?
    You know that Suleiman is the key figure in supporting USA rendition,interrogation etc. right??

  3. bvilleyellowdog says:

    You’ll notice the source of your crap right?

    http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/13/world/middleeast/13egypt.html

    try a halfway legit source.

    But then if regressives checked sources they would not watch the faux gulag channel.
    http://www.alternet.org/media/149879/%22we_were_a_stalin-esque_mouthpiece_for_bush%22_–_fox_news_insider/

  4. bvilleyellowdog says:

    …and he “moderates” my posts because regressives cannot handle facts.
    But we knew that.

  5. Alfie says:

    Actually your comment is over the link limit. This is due to past experiences with Elric etc.
    You’ve linked to a NYT piece that doesn’t refute anything either I or Stratfor has put forth. Also my earlier sources have included Al Jazeera and AP but never ever Fox.
    As for alternet as a source of unbiased standing…omfg!!!!!!!!
    From here on you will be viewed as a hostile persona dog seeing as you insist on being nothing but a spammer.

  6. bvilleyellowdog says:

    STRATFOR
    is spam crap….so this is a spam site.

  7. Alfie says:

    you’re a joke. You epitomize the American Left.

  8. bvilleyellowdog says:

    I see this site has died. Good rid.

  9. Alfie says:

    This site is alive and well as it is about me accessing the world. Buh bye.

    CAIRO – Egypt’s military rulers are dissolving the parliament and suspending the constitution, meeting two key demands of pro-democracy protesters.

    In their latest communique, the military leadership that took power when President Hosni Mubarak stepped down Friday, said they will run the country for six months, or until presidential and parliament elections can be held.

    Seems like a silly demand of someone who wants democracy. Good luck Egypt

  10. Tex Taylor says:

    …and he “moderates” my posts because regressives cannot handle facts.
    But we knew that.

    Strange response coming from the Two Useful Idiot’s Blog, where moderating comments, under the guise of “real debate”, is the rule. That is, if the comments make it to the database.

    But then again, is there anybody that really takes the Yeller Dawg or Graychin seriously anymore? As anything but two lonely and useless simpletons?

  11. STRATFOR is crap?

    Bitch, you demonstrate your ignorance with every comment…

  12. bvilleyellowdog says:

    STRATFOR – a reference site for suckers

  13. an800lbgorilla says:

    Explain. What’s wrong with it?

  14. Alfie says:

    He’ll need to find something to cut and paste,perhaps from Giordano who hates them but fails to document that Stratfor itself reports on the predictions it makes that fall short or never materialize in the first place.
    Also worth noting is that the dog like any leftists tool doesn’t actually attack the positions but goes after sources as if discrediting a person somehow makes facts untrue.priceless.

  15. bvilleyellowdog says:

    What is wrong it? They are one of those for profit orgs that Goggles lots of stuff, puts it in a cool spiral bound book and sells it for a load of money to suckers……it’s mindless crap.. If you like paying big bucks for crap I can do it for only $989.00/hr.

  16. bvilleyellowdog says:

    goes after sources as if discrediting a person somehow makes facts untrue.priceless.

    last time I looked verifying sources was a good idea….but then there are Faux viewers and hate radio fans here – I forgot..

  17. an800lbgorilla says:

    Again, an example. Show me where STRATFOR has provided analysis that was readily available on Google. According to you, it isn’t that hard to do…

  18. Hucking Fypocrites says:

    “I see this site has died. Good rid.”

    And yet here you are….

    “last time I looked verifying sources was a good idea”

    Unless we ask you to do it, then it is nothing but a game we play to discredit you, right?

  19. bvilleyellowdog says:

    when has HF ever quoted a legit source?…. what a troll.

Comments are closed.